Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.875851 1.013188 1.161790 1.334126 1.528066 1.739140 1.985807
2024-12-15 0.696210 0.892028 1.122437 1.411680 1.763025 2.173818 2.688119
2024-12-22 0.563898 0.789271 1.074112 1.456088 1.949865 2.561116 3.368723
2024-12-29 0.486896 0.735225 1.068696 1.541123 2.183632 3.016269 4.164168
2025-01-05 0.401823 0.651961 1.007477 1.537229 2.291589 3.309935 4.767429
2025-01-12 0.332758 0.577694 0.944709 1.517518 2.367769 3.558127 5.318975
2025-01-19 0.280168 0.518369 0.893300 1.503874 2.444900 3.805981 5.879108
2025-01-26 0.246646 0.483510 0.873213 1.532242 2.581992 4.143870 6.583424
2025-02-02 0.216876 0.449670 0.849318 1.549804 2.700658 4.458585 7.268805
2025-02-09 0.190386 0.417018 0.822475 1.557964 2.802339 4.750709 7.933577
2025-02-16 0.172231 0.396853 0.814171 1.595063 2.951486 5.122501 8.737571
2025-02-23 0.153445 0.372193 0.794311 1.608976 3.061254 5.436217 9.465127
2025-03-02 0.129211 0.332585 0.742468 1.561711 3.065297 5.583757 9.944902
2025-03-09 0.118658 0.320747 0.742765 1.610484 3.240620 6.023526 10.921590
2025-03-16 0.107884 0.306476 0.736272 1.645268 3.392773 6.432334 11.867749
2025-03-23 0.103047 0.305376 0.756671 1.733942 3.649035 7.031918 13.160739
2025-03-30 0.090885 0.283947 0.730978 1.727511 3.726497 7.324268 13.945839
2025-04-06 0.079155 0.261212 0.699247 1.704938 3.770339 7.557930 14.639012
2025-04-13 0.069474 0.241897 0.672505 1.689568 3.825743 7.813284 15.379209
2025-04-20 0.063733 0.232498 0.667710 1.720821 3.975185 8.246747 16.452672
2025-04-27 0.057930 0.221704 0.658089 1.740189 4.101287 8.642426 17.474494
2025-05-04 0.052233 0.209987 0.644578 1.749192 4.206058 9.002374 18.445802
2025-05-11 0.048573 0.204005 0.644948 1.790173 4.380108 9.501756 19.692693